Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.004943 0.005469 0.006014 0.006620 0.007273 0.007956 0.008722
2024-12-22 0.004166 0.004922 0.005745 0.006704 0.007787 0.008967 0.010347
2024-12-29 0.003749 0.004645 0.005655 0.006872 0.008290 0.009880 0.011790
2025-01-05 0.003449 0.004448 0.005609 0.007046 0.008763 0.010734 0.013153
2025-01-12 0.003041 0.004076 0.005315 0.006888 0.008812 0.011069 0.013894
2025-01-19 0.002757 0.003828 0.005142 0.006850 0.008983 0.011531 0.014774
2025-01-26 0.002485 0.003570 0.004935 0.006748 0.009055 0.011860 0.015486
2025-02-02 0.002284 0.003386 0.004805 0.006727 0.009217 0.012291 0.016319
2025-02-09 0.002100 0.003210 0.004672 0.006689 0.009347 0.012675 0.017094
2025-02-16 0.002007 0.003152 0.004688 0.006841 0.009719 0.013367 0.018262
2025-02-23 0.001840 0.002976 0.004532 0.006754 0.009769 0.013641 0.018899
2025-03-02 0.001717 0.002855 0.004444 0.006751 0.009925 0.014050 0.019710
2025-03-09 0.001671 0.002847 0.004518 0.006978 0.010404 0.014902 0.021128
2025-03-16 0.001584 0.002772 0.004492 0.007062 0.010691 0.015505 0.022233
2025-03-23 0.001530 0.002744 0.004531 0.007238 0.011102 0.016280 0.023575
2025-03-30 0.001483 0.002722 0.004575 0.007419 0.011524 0.017073 0.024953
2025-04-06 0.001348 0.002551 0.004388 0.007254 0.011450 0.017187 0.025415
2025-04-13 0.001256 0.002442 0.004289 0.007215 0.011550 0.017537 0.026198
2025-04-20 0.001155 0.002313 0.004151 0.007108 0.011546 0.017740 0.026778
2025-04-27 0.001081 0.002224 0.004072 0.007086 0.011662 0.018109 0.027591
2025-05-04 0.001009 0.002134 0.003984 0.007047 0.011750 0.018436 0.028347
2025-05-11 0.000983 0.002122 0.004024 0.007205 0.012134 0.019190 0.029711
2025-05-18 0.000909 0.002019 0.003908 0.007114 0.012138 0.019397 0.030304